Archive for April 2010
5
What happens when the government stops supporting the Housing Market?
7 Comments · Posted by admin in Bank Owned, Foreclosure, Home Sales Stats, REO, Short Sales
On April 30, the Tax Credit will be gone. Banks seem to be holding ’shadow’ REO inventory that has been reported in the 4-8 million range. Interest rates are set to go higher because of all of the government debt that has been added to the books trying to avert all this.
However, the real scary issue is relayed in a recent Charlie Rose interview with housing expert Robert Shiller:
Charlie Rose: You’ve said that 90% of the housing market is supported by the government.
Robert Shiller: Well, it’s 80% or 90%. Really almost the whole market now is government. And we know this can’t last.Rose: And that means prices are being artificially inflated?
Shiller: It seems to. Government support is especially prominent in sales of existing homes, which shot up to over 6 million on an annual rate in November 2009, the month that the home buyer tax credit initially was supposed to expire.
Fannie Mae has reported the rate of serious delinquencies (90 Days overdue) for conventional loans in its single-family guarantee business jolted to to 5.52% in January from 5.38% in December. This is a 100% increase since January 2009. But look at the chart below and explain to me how we are anywhere near an end to this housing crisis!
It is our stance that we still have some real issues to work thru before we can claim “an end to the housing crisis”.
Jason Roberts
Founder & CEO
Bank Owned · fannie mae · Foreclosures · Freddie Mac · Home Prices · housing market · Pending Home Sales · sell my house · sellmyhouse.com · short sale · stop foreclosure
The National Association of Realtors said Monday its seasonally adjusted index of sales agreements rose 8.2 percent from January to a February reading of 97.6. January’s reading was revised slightly downward to 90.2.
The report “may signal the early stages of a second surge of home sales this spring,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist.
Home sales were spurred on after a sluggish winter, partly because the government extended the deadline to qualify for a tax credit. First-time buyers can get a tax break of up to $8,000 if they sign a contract by April 30. Lawmakers also added credit of $6,500 for existing homeowners who move.
The biggest month-to-month increase was in the Midwest, where pending sales rose by nearly 22 percent. Sales posted gains of 9 percent in the South and Northeast, but fell nearly 5 percent in the West.
Staff Writer
Home Prices · housing market · Pending Home Sales · sell my house · sellmyhouse.com
